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13

Pansy Poe

5yo Mare · 9-10 · Draw 13 · OR 54

Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y

#17

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who left E. J. O'Neill cheaply but shaped much better on second start for this yard when length second of 19 to Verified at Cork last week and she's on a very workable mark if coming on again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 02/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 73 · 5f3y Yie 129 · below its mark02/10/2024 · OR 73 par2/10C8OR 73C8 @ Dundalk 18/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f Std 129 · below its mark18/10/2024 · OR 72 parC8 @ Sligo 04/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 5f208y Goo 139 · below its mark04/05/2025 · OR 71 par4/05C8OR 71BHA67 @ Curragh 23/05/2025 · Pos 19th of 20 · OR 67 · 1m Gd 127 · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 67 parBHA63 @ Navan 13/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 63 · 5f Goo 133 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 63 par13/0763OR 63C8 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 60 · 5f Gd 130 · below its mark05/09/2025 · OR 60 parC8 @ Dundalk 26/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 58 · 6f Std 127 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 58 par26/09C8OR 58BHA55 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 55 · 5f Goo 137 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 55 parBHA51 @ Cork 29/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 51 · 6f Sft 135 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 51 par29/0951OR 51projClass-projected finish: 8th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-29CorkBHA512nd2nd0
2026-08-23NaasBHA5513th13th0
2025-09-26Dundalk?11th11th0
2025-09-05Down Royal?6th6th0
2025-07-13NavanBHA639th9th0
2025-05-23CurraghBHA6719th19th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1023/0526/0929/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 2583% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 25. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20243rd2/799%60%-0.39
18/10/20246th13/266%29%-0.37
04/05/20257th50/10%0%0.00
23/05/202519th80/10%5%+0.05
13/07/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
05/09/20256th22/10%44%+0.44
26/09/202511th40/10%17%+0.17
23/08/202613th33/10%33%+0.33
29/09/20262nd40/10%94%+0.94