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11

Rosato

5yo Mare · 9-12 · Draw 19 · OR 56

Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y

#1

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

92%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Losing run is mounting up but she's 2 from 3 at this track and is now 4 lb below her last winning mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR 62 · 6f Sft 132 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 62 par19/0462OR 62BHA59 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 59 · 6f63y Yie 129 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA56 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 138 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 56 par12/0656OR 56BHA54 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 54 · 6f GF 136 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 54 parBHA58 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 58 · 6f GF 119 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 58 par9/0858OR 58BHA58 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 27 · OR 58 · 6f Goo 128 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 58 parBHA62 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 62 · 6f Yie 132 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 62 par29/0862OR 62BHA59 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 59 · 5f Gd 142 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 59 parBHA58 @ Cork 29/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 58 · 6f Sft 119 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 58 par29/0958OR 58projClass-projected finish: 6th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-29CorkBHA584th4th0
2026-09-05NavanBHA599th9th0
2026-08-29CurraghBHA6211th11th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA582nd2nd0
2026-08-09CurraghBHA5811th11th0
2026-07-24CorkBHA542nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0424/0729/0829/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2563% of fieldRange 14-25 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength8%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 25. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20269th9/153%60%+0.07
03/06/202612th8/158%42%-0.16
12/06/20267th9/276%60%-0.16
24/07/20262nd8/158%94%+0.37
09/08/202611th7/163%23%-0.40
22/08/20262nd17/255%96%+0.41
29/08/202611th5/174%44%-0.29
05/09/20269th13/266%53%-0.13
29/09/20264th10/382%57%-0.25