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Step Back In Time

8yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 42

Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 4 times at Navan, including this race 12 months ago off 9 lb higher. Generally struggled this season, however, including back here latest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA51 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 51 · 5f180y Yie 134 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 51 par8/1051OR 51BHA59 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 59 · 5f Sft 122 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 59 parBHA58 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR 58 · 5f180y Yie 141 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 58 par16/0558OR 58BHA55 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 21 · OR 55 · 5f Goo 125 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 55 parBHA51 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 51 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 51 par12/0651OR 51BHA47 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 47 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 47 parBHA44 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 44 · 5f Goo 126 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 44 par3/0844OR 44BHA46 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR 46 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 46 parBHA43 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR 43 · 5f Gd 126 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 43 par5/0943OR 43projClass-projected finish: 18th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA4315th15th0
2026-08-23NaasBHA4611th11th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA443rd3rd0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA4711th11th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA519th9th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA5514th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/107/063/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2575% of fieldRange 12-25 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 25.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
22/10/20257th16/116%40%+0.24
16/05/202612th14/126%31%+0.05
07/06/202614th40/10%35%+0.35
12/06/20269th25/10%47%+0.47
01/07/202611th50/10%38%+0.38
03/08/20263rd18/15%86%+0.80
23/08/202611th11/142%44%+0.02
05/09/202615th14/126%18%-0.09