25
The Cosy Corner
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 16 · OR 45
Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y
#21
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#21
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 10.7)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Dundalk | BHA45 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA52 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA53 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Navan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Leopardstown | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 20th | 20th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2550% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 25. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 20th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 21/08/2025 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |