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20

The Love Machine

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 9 · OR 48

Navan · Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap (0-60) · 5f 180y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner off 13 lb higher 12 months ago for another yard and only narrowly failed to land a gamble when back to form here (5f) last month. Up 6 lb but still looks potentially very well handicapped.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA70 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 70 · 6f Std 138 · below its mark13/01/2026 · OR 70 par13/0170OR 70BHA70 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 70 · 5f Sft 138 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 70 parBHA67 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 67 · 7f205y Sft 137 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 67 par11/0467OR 67BHA66 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 19th of 21 · OR 66 · 6f Sft 125 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 66 parBHA65 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 18th of 20 · OR 65 · 6f Gd 125 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 65 par4/0565OR 65BHA59 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 59 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA52 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 52 · 5f Sft 123 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 52 par19/0652OR 52BHA49 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 49 · 6f Yie 131 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 49 parBHA42 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 42 · 5f Gd 124 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 42 par5/0942OR 42projClass-projected finish: 9th of 25
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA422nd2nd0
2026-08-05SligoBHA499th9th0
2026-06-19Down RoyalBHA525th5th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA5912th12th0
2026-05-04CurraghBHA6518th18th0
2026-04-19CurraghBHA6619th19th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0119/0419/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 25100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 25.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/202611th18/15%0%-0.05
22/03/202612th50/10%21%+0.21
11/04/202612th40/10%8%+0.08
19/04/202619th80/10%10%+0.10
04/05/202618th100/10%11%+0.11
12/06/202612th66/10%27%+0.27
19/06/20265th11/142%33%-0.09
05/08/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
05/09/20262nd9/488%94%+0.06