1

Aachen

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 1

Navan · Navan Racecourse Welcomes Our Local Community Maiden · 1m 40y

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped very well when third of 13 in 1m Dundalk maiden on debut in mid-August, finishing strongly. Open to improvement for top connections although newcomer Choctaw Nation possibly the stable pick on jockey bookings.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 13315/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Dundalk?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20263rd12/137%83%+0.46