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Pink Oxalis

5yo Mare · 10-0 · Draw 8 · OR 86

Navan · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m 40y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Arrives in good order, posting yet another creditable effort when 2 lengths sixth of 18 to Rebel Wave in handicap at Leopardstown last time. Good-value conditional takes over and this represents a slight drop in grade. One to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA93 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 93 · 1m Std 136 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 93 par20/0293OR 93BHA92 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 23rd of 25 · OR 92 · 1m Hvy 127 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 92 parBHA90 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 90 · 7f Sft 140 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 90 par22/0490OR 90BHA90 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m1f120y Yie 140 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 90 parBHA90 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 7f Yie 140 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 90 par12/0690OR 90BHA88 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 88 · 1m GF 139 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 88 parBHA90 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 90 · 1m98y Yie 140 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 90 par30/0790OR 90BHA90 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Goo 140 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 90 parBHA86 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 86 · 1m60y Gd 131 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 86 par12/0986OR 86projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12LeopardstownBHA866th6th0
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA906th6th0
2026-07-30GalwayBHA905th5th0
2026-07-19CurraghBHA882nd2nd0
2026-06-12Gowran ParkBHA906th6th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA905th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/021/0630/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/202612th14/126%8%-0.18
15/03/202623rd33/10%8%+0.08
22/04/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
01/06/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
12/06/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
19/07/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43
30/07/20265th18/15%67%+0.61
20/08/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
12/09/20266th14/126%71%+0.44