IvyArcIvyArc
10

Capolinea

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 15 · OR 48

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 30y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten all 3 starts in maidens this summer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m30y Gd 13014/07C8C8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 14031/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 13518/08C8projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Roscommon?10th10th0
2026-07-31Galway?13th13th0
2026-07-14Killarney?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0731/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength54%

Delivery trend +17.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20265th50/10%0%0.00
31/07/202613th150/10%20%+0.20
18/08/202610th300/10%36%+0.36