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13

Captain Ciano

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 14 · OR 44

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 30y

#16

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to win but has run to a fair level a couple of times in handicaps. Out of sorts at present, though, and wasn't revived by a try at sprinting last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 10.6)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA68 @ Gowran Park 16/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 68 · 1m1f100y Sft 124 · beat its mark16/04/2025 · OR 68 par16/0468OR 68BHA65 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m2f150y Std 134 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 65 parBHA65 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 24th of 26 · OR 65 · 1m Hvy 135 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 65 par15/0365OR 65BHA64 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 64 · 1m1f100y Sft 134 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 64 parBHA62 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 23rd of 23 · OR 62 · 1m2f40y Goo 132 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 62 par25/0462OR 62BHA58 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m1f190y Goo 141 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 58 parBHA53 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 53 · 7f211y Gd 135 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 53 par2/0753OR 53BHA60 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m Std 142 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 60 parBHA50 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 50 · 6f GF 132 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 50 par24/0750OR 50projClass-projected finish: 16th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24CorkBHA5016th16th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA6010th10th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA538th8th0
2026-06-05FairyhouseBHA589th9th0
2026-04-25NavanBHA6223th23th0
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA6412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/048/042/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 9-17 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20252nd20/10%94%+0.94
13/02/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
15/03/202624th14/126%8%-0.18
08/04/202612th20/10%8%+0.08
25/04/202623rd40/10%0%0.00
05/06/20269th22/10%38%+0.38
02/07/20268th20/10%50%+0.50
12/07/202610th16/116%31%+0.15
24/07/202616th33/10%17%+0.17