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4

Casheldale Lass

4yo Filly · 9-13 · Draw 10 · OR 57

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 30y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice in summer of 2025 fitted with cheekpieces. Just denied at Leopardstown in May and best effort since when third over hurdles at Wexford in August. Ran poorly on heavy going at the Curragh 10 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA63 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m3f15y Hvy 133 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 63 par22/0963OR 63BHA63 @ Killarney 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m30y Sft 133 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 63 parBHA62 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 23 · OR 62 · 1m2f40y Goo 132 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 62 par25/0462OR 62BHA61 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 61 · 1m2f Gd 121 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 61 parBHA64 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 64 · 1m1f210y Gd 134 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 64 par28/0564OR 64BHA63 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 63 · 1m2f194y Gd 133 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 63 parC8 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 15412/07C8C8 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 156BHA60 @ Curragh 27/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 60 · 1m2f Hvy 160 · below its mark27/09/2026 · OR 60 par27/0960OR 60projClass-projected finish: 9th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27CurraghBHA6014th14th0
2026-08-08Wexford?3rd3rd0
2026-07-12Sligo?8th8th0
2026-06-24NaasBHA6312th12th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA648th8th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA612nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0915/0512/0727/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 9-17 · tight 66/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength5%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20256th12/137%58%+0.21
06/10/20257th14/126%40%+0.14
25/04/202616th14/126%32%+0.05
15/05/20262nd15/261%90%+0.29
28/05/20268th11/486%53%-0.32
24/06/202612th6/168%21%-0.47
12/07/20268th9/153%30%-0.23
08/08/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
27/09/202614th20/10%24%+0.24