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15

Giordano

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 45

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 30y

#14

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well beaten in a trio of maidens. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f190y Goo 1345/06C8C8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13422/08C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f10y Gd 1345/09C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?12th12th0
2026-08-22Curragh?10th10th0
2026-06-05Fairyhouse?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0622/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 5-15 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20269th80/10%33%+0.33
22/08/202610th200/10%18%+0.18
05/09/202612th300/10%45%+0.45