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16

Lady Crossing

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 11 · OR 41

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 30y

#15

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Appeared to take a step back in the right direction when fourth of 13 in handicap at Limerick (1m, heavy, 66/1) in June but failed to build on that the following month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 13.2 /10 (raw 12.9)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 18/05/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m Goo 12918/05C8C8 @ Leopardstown 12/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f47y Sft 129C8 @ Curragh 28/06/2025 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR - · 6f Gd 12928/06C8C8 @ Curragh 19/07/2025 · Pos 21st of 21 · OR - · 7f Goo 129C8 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 12912/12C8C8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 130BHA50 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m2f150y Std 130 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 50 par30/0150OR 50BHA44 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 44 · 1m Sft 126 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 44 parBHA44 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 20th of 22 · OR 44 · 1m1f Goo 126 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 44 par9/0744OR 44projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA4420th20th0
2026-06-19LimerickBHA444th4th0
2026-01-30DundalkBHA5014th14th0
2026-01-09Dundalk?8th8th0
2025-12-12Dundalk?12th12th0
2025-07-19Curragh?21th21th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0519/0730/019/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/202512th400/10%0%0.00
12/06/20259th250/10%20%+0.20
28/06/202516th250/10%6%+0.06
19/07/202521st300/10%0%0.00
12/12/202512th250/10%8%+0.08
09/01/20268th500/10%36%+0.36
30/01/202614th100/10%0%0.00
19/06/20264th66/10%75%+0.75
09/07/202620th33/10%10%+0.10