5
Spanish Princess
5yo Mare · 9-13 · Draw 4 · OR 57
Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 30y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | BHA58 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Dundalk | BHA64 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Navan | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Galway | BHA65 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Bellewstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Galway | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 1-17 · tight 21/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 26/08/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 08/10/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 19/11/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |