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4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 17 · OR 48

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 30y

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to win and slow starts haven't helped her cause in 7f/1m turf handicaps of late, while she didn't convince upped to this sort of trip on polytrack last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 19/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 66 · 7f111y Gd 129 · below its mark19/08/2025 · OR 66 par19/08C8OR 66BHA64 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 64 · 7f Std 133 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 64 parBHA62 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f205y Sft 132 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 62 par11/0462OR 62BHA61 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 61 · 7f94y Goo 131 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 61 parBHA56 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 56 · 7f Goo 126 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 56 par3/0856OR 56BHA56 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 56 · 7f42y Goo 139 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 56 parBHA56 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 56 · 7f195y Goo 139 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 56 par25/0856OR 56BHA55 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 55 · 1m20y Goo 137 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 55 parBHA50 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m2f150y Std 132 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 50 par18/0950OR 50projClass-projected finish: 7th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DundalkBHA507th7th0
2026-09-02NavanBHA5511th11th0
2026-08-25BellewstownBHA5610th10th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA566th6th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA5611th11th0
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA6113th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0818/0525/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength33%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20256th13/266%44%-0.21
12/11/20259th16/116%38%+0.23
11/04/20267th33/10%54%+0.54
18/05/202613th50/10%14%+0.14
03/08/202611th50/10%33%+0.33
06/08/20266th12/137%69%+0.32
25/08/202610th22/10%36%+0.36
02/09/202611th16/116%33%+0.18
18/09/20267th12/137%54%+0.17