7

Ballaghkeen

3yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 10 · OR 56

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y

#13

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Attracted support after 11 months off and caught eye when sixth of 21 in C&D handicap last month. Failed to build on that next time but still early days and a 3 lb drop coupled with a return to this track can only be viewed as positives.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 17/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 12817/07C8C8 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m30y Goo 12816/09C8C8 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m Yie 12830/09C8BHA65 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 65 · 7f Std 123 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 65 par17/1065OR 65BHA60 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 21 · OR 60 · 1m2f10y Gd 138 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 60 par5/0960OR 60BHA59 @ Down Royal 28/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m3f10y Goo 139 · below its mark28/09/2026 · OR 59 par28/0959OR 59projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Down RoyalBHA5912th12th0
2026-09-05NavanBHA606th6th0
2025-10-17DundalkBHA6513th13th0
2025-09-30Cork?13th13th0
2025-09-16Punchestown?7th7th0
2025-07-17Leopardstown?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0716/0930/0917/105/0928/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 12-17 · tight 73/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20256th20/10%44%+0.44
16/09/20257th25/10%25%+0.25
30/09/202513th200/10%20%+0.20
17/10/202513th33/10%0%0.00
05/09/20266th11/142%75%+0.33
28/09/202612th17/255%15%-0.40