10
Chloe's Boy
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 12 · OR 54
Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Down Royal | BHA54 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Punchestown | BHA50 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA53 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA58 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 13th | 300/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 28/09/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 46% | -0.22 |