3
Mr Perth
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 15 · OR 60
Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Fairyhouse | BHA63 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | BHA66 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA66 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 6-17 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/05/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 65% | -0.12 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 21/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |