4

Nottooshabby
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 13 · OR 60
Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Listowel | BHA63 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 41/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |