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8

Patrick Street

7yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 11 · OR 52

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

88%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to winning ways when narrowly taking 12-runner minor event at Ayr (1¼m, good, 11/2) in August and turned in an even better effort when length third of 14 to Chloe's Boy at Punchestown. Not seen to best effect over hurdles since and the step back up to 1¼m will suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA44 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 44 · 1m3f190y Yie 126 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 44 par25/0444OR 44BHA81 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 81 · 2m Goo 150 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 81 parBHA83 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 83 · 2m6f Goo 155 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 83 par30/0583OR 83BHA50 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 50 · 1m4f207y Sft 132 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 50 parBHA82 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 82 · 2m2f200y Gd 150 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 82 par24/0782OR 826 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 50 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m4f15y Goo 138 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 50 par11/086OR 50BHA51 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 51 · 1m1f30y Goo 133 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 51 parBHA82 @ Roscommon 28/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 82 · 1m7f135y Goo 153 · below its mark28/09/2026 · OR 82 par28/0982OR 82projClass-projected finish: 4th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28RoscommonBHA8211th11th0
2026-09-15PunchestownBHA513rd3rd0
2026-08-11Hamilton64th4th0
2026-08-08Ayr61st1st0
2026-07-24KilbegganBHA825th5th0
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA505th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0420/0611/0828/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 6-17 · tight 54/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
13/05/20263rd12/137%88%+0.51
30/05/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
20/06/20265th7/282%69%-0.12
24/07/20265th7/163%73%+0.10
08/08/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
11/08/20264th15/890%57%-0.33
15/09/20263rd17/255%85%+0.29
28/09/202611th4/179%33%-0.46