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12

Prom Queen

5yo Mare · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 47

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved a touch in getting off the mark at the eighth attempt in 13-runner handicap at Gowran (13.5f, soft) in April but was ridden too aggressively when down the field in similar event at Roscommon following month. Returns from 142-day break with yard back among the winners. Worth a market check.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 12/12/2023 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f14y Std 12812/125C8 @ Dundalk 10/01/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 130C8 @ Dundalk 29/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13029/01C8BHA47 @ Naas 28/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 47 · 1m Goo 129 · beat its mark28/04/2025 · OR 47 parBHA43 @ Fairyhouse 06/06/2025 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR 43 · 1m2f Gd 125 · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 43 par6/0643OR 43BHA40 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 40 · 1m2f30y Yie 122 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m1f130y Sft 122 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 40 par9/0440OR 40BHA40 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 40 · 1m5f160y Sft 122 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 40 parBHA48 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 48 · 1m4f17y Yie 130 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 48 par18/0548OR 48projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA489th9th0
2026-04-22Gowran ParkBHA401st1st0
2026-04-09Gowran ParkBHA404th4th0
2025-10-08NavanBHA402nd2nd0
2025-06-06FairyhouseBHA4317th17th0
2025-04-28NaasBHA4710th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1228/049/0418/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 44/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20238th33/10%30%+0.30
10/01/202510th150/10%18%+0.18
29/01/20254th66/10%40%+0.40
28/04/202510th50/10%53%+0.53
06/06/202517th33/10%6%+0.06
08/10/20252nd80/10%94%+0.94
09/04/20264th10/147%77%+0.30
22/04/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
18/05/20269th7/282%47%-0.35