14
Pure Granite
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 4 · OR 46
Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y
#12
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.7)
Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Punchestown | BHA46 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Dundalk | BHA51 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Dundalk | BHA54 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | BHA56 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-06-16 | Gowran Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 88/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 16/06/2024 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/10/2025 | 19th | 80/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 05/11/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 77% | +0.51 |