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15

Roderick

10yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 16 · OR 45

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in 1m handicap at Gowran in June. Wasn't seen to best effect when mid-field over same C&D last month after 12 weeks off. Back up in trip with first-time visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA54 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR 54 · 1m2f10y Gd 137 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 54 par6/0954OR 54BHA53 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 53 · 1m75y Hvy 135 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Curragh 21/10/2025 · Pos 20th of 22 · OR 53 · 1m Hvy 123 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 53 par21/1053OR 53BHA53 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 53 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 53 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 53 par13/0153OR 53C9 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 50 · 7f180y Sft 132 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 50 parBHA47 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 47 · 1m1f Sft 129 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 47 par11/0647OR 47C9 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 47 · 1m Yie 129 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 47 parC9 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 48 · 1m Yie 130 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 48 par1/09C9OR 48projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?7th7th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA474th4th0
2026-04-09Gowran Park?12th12th0
2026-01-13DundalkBHA537th7th0
2025-12-10DundalkBHA537th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0910/1211/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/202517th12/137%11%-0.26
20/10/20254th8/158%79%+0.21
21/10/202520th11/271%10%-0.62
10/12/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
13/01/20267th28/10%54%+0.54
09/04/202612th20/10%27%+0.27
11/06/20264th18/15%81%+0.76
12/06/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92
01/09/20267th16/116%60%+0.44