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11

Searcog

4yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 9 · OR 49

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fully exposed as modest in this sphere but posted another respectable effort when 7 lengths fourth of 11 to Maxwell Smart in extended 1½m handicap at Bellewstown 6 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR - · 2m Yie 14727/12C8BHA107 @ Fairyhouse 21/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 107 · 2m110y Hvy 153 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 107 parBHA54 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 54 · 1m Goo 136 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 54 par12/0454OR 54BHA54 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 23 · OR 54 · 1m2f40y Goo 124 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 54 parBHA52 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 52 · 1m5f Goo 122 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 52 par17/0752OR 52BHA105 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 105 · 2m130y Gd 157 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 105 parC8 @ Downpatrick 09/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 105 · 2m1f165y Gd 158 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 105 par9/08C8OR 105C8 @ Sligo 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 105 · 2m1f161y Gd 158 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 105 parBHA49 @ Bellewstown 01/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 49 · 1m4f77y Sft 131 · beat its mark01/10/2026 · OR 49 par1/1049OR 49projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-01BellewstownBHA494th4th0
2026-08-19Sligo?3rd3rd0
2026-08-09Downpatrick?2nd2nd0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA1054th4th0
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA524th4th0
2026-04-25NavanBHA548th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1225/049/081/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-17 · tight 22/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20256th50/10%72%+0.72
21/02/20265th9/276%20%-0.56
12/04/20264th9/153%84%+0.32
25/04/20268th13/266%68%+0.02
17/07/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
27/07/20264th66/10%84%+0.84
09/08/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
19/08/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
01/10/20264th5/287%70%-0.17