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17

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5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 17 · OR 40

Navan · Racing Again 21st October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) · 1m 2f 30y

#17

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came at this course (1¾m) last year. Below form all 3 starts this season, again failing to see her race out on latest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA45 @ Down Royal 05/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m4f194y Gd 130 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 45 par5/0945OR 45BHA45 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m2f150y Std 127 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 45 parBHA44 @ Bellewstown 01/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 44 · 1m4f110y Sft 119 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 44 par1/1044OR 44C9 @ Thurles 09/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 42 · 1m4f132y Goo 124 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 42 parBHA41 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 23 · OR 41 · 1m6f Sft 123 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 41 par22/1041OR 41BHA41 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 41 · 1m3f180y Hvy 123 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 41 parBHA40 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m5f190y Sft 122 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 40 par3/0540OR 40BHA40 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 40 · 1m6f Goo 122 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m1f168y Yie 122 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 40 par16/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 7th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16ClonmelBHA408th8th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA409th9th0
2026-05-03SligoBHA405th5th0
2025-10-27GalwayBHA419th9th0
2025-10-22NavanBHA4112th12th0
2025-10-09Thurles?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/099/103/0516/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20255th9/153%69%+0.17
19/09/202511th25/10%23%+0.23
01/10/20257th16/116%25%+0.09
09/10/20256th10/147%38%-0.10
22/10/202512th11/142%50%+0.08
27/10/20259th20/10%53%+0.53
03/05/20265th9/153%69%+0.17
27/08/20269th20/10%62%+0.62
16/09/20268th14/126%46%+0.20