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Castlerock Girl

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5

Nottingham · EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 18y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

65,000 gns yearling, Bayside Boy filly. Half-sister to winner up to 7f Politico. Dam 6f winner (including at 2 yrs). Well backed and shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 11 in Southwell novice, running on. Sure to improve so rates a big player.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 24/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f17y Std 12824/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Southwell42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength86%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20262nd7/491%90%-0.01