Palomezcal
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 68
Nottingham · Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Salisbury | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Sandown | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +23.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |