1
Russian Rumour
9yo Mare · 10-0 · Draw 7 · OR 78
Nottingham · Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength54%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Goodwood | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nottingham | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |