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2

Hoshi

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 2

Nottingham · British EBF Future Stayers Oath Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 75y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest form both starts in recent weeks at up to 1m and appeals as type to do better in middle-distance handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13019/0833 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sft 13311/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Salisbury34th5th−1
2026-08-19Kempton35th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +32.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20265th14/126%64%+0.37
11/09/20264th25/10%70%+0.70