4
Foscarini
2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 2 · OR 67
Nottingham · British Stallion Studs EBF Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 50y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Newbury | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 63/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +16.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |