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2

Kanzi

2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 4 · OR 77

Nottingham · British Stallion Studs EBF Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 50y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

63%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ghaiyyath filly who confirmed the promise of her Ayr debut second when landing the odds over 1m at Lingfield (all-weather) in August. Folded quite tamely on nursery debut 3 weeks later but she's in the right hands and given a break, she now goes up in distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ayr 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 7f50y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/0734 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1y Std 1288/0844 @ Carlisle 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 79 · 7f173y Goo 135 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 79 par27/084OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Carlisle45th5th0
2026-08-08Lingfield41st1st0
2026-07-27Ayr32nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/078/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -54.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20262nd9/153%75%+0.22
08/08/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
27/08/20265th5/287%0%-0.87