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6

Dark Whisper

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 9 · OR 85

Nottingham · Jeremy Bradbeer Memorial Handicap · 1m 75y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark at the third attempt in 1m Ffos Las maiden in June but proved a disappointment on his handicap bow when beating only 2 home at Goodwood (1¼m, good to firm) following month. Drop back in trip not certain to suit after short break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/0424 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m75y Goo 13031/0544 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 13230/0642 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 87 · 1m1f197y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 87 par30/072OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Goodwood212th10th+2
2026-06-30Ffos Las41st1st0
2026-05-31Nottingham43rd3rd0
2026-04-16Newmarket22nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0431/0530/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -19.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20262nd33/10%89%+0.89
31/05/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
30/06/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
30/07/202612th25/10%15%+0.15