5

Dhahabi

8yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 6 · OR 82

Nottingham · Jeremy Bradbeer Memorial Handicap · 1m 75y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Smart at best but lightly raced in recent times and well held in a quartet of 1¼m handicaps for Ian Williams this summer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Meydan 26/01/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 105 · 1m6f Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/01/2024 · OR 105 par26/01C1OR 105C1 @ Meydan 22/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 109 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/11/2024 · OR 109 parC1 @ Meydan 20/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 105 · 1m1f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/12/2024 · OR 105 par20/12C1OR 105C0 @ Meydan 24/01/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 105 · 1m1f Fas 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/01/2025 · OR 105 parC0 @ Meydan 07/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Gd 1377/02C?2 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 100 · 1m2f17y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 100 par2 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 95 · 1m1f197y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 95 par28/072OR 952 @ York 22/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 90 · 1m2f56y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 87 · 1m2f56y GS 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 87 par6/093OR 87projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York311th10th+1
2026-08-22York215th13th+2
2026-07-28Goodwood215th13th+2
2026-06-05Epsom Downs215th13th+2
2025-02-07Meydan?10th10th0
2025-01-24Meydan?10th5th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0124/0128/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/01/20244th4/179%67%-0.12
22/11/20244th28/10%63%+0.63
20/12/20244th33/10%63%+0.63
24/01/202510th100/10%18%+0.18
07/02/202510th40/10%0%0.00
05/06/202615th100/10%7%+0.07
28/07/202615th150/10%13%+0.13
22/08/202615th150/10%26%+0.26
06/09/202611th25/10%29%+0.29