9
Quisana
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 76
Nottingham · Jeremy Bradbeer Memorial Handicap · 1m 75y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Chepstow | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Chepstow | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 51/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |