Tamzan
3yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 2 · OR 77
Nottingham · Jeremy Bradbeer Memorial Handicap · 1m 75y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Leicester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newmarket | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 21/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |