Treasure Time
5yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 1 · OR 85
Nottingham · Jeremy Bradbeer Memorial Handicap · 1m 75y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Doncaster | 2 | 17th | 15th | +2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Newmarket | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Ascot | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Goodwood | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Sandown | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-09-14 | Doncaster | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 01/08/2024 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 69% | -0.12 |
| 23/08/2024 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/09/2024 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 77% | -0.10 |
| 05/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 02/08/2025 | 14th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.52 |
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 12/09/2026 | 17th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |