13
Borjina
3yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 13 · OR 71
Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Now Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 50y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Redcar | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 35/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 23/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |