Kasgani
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7 · OR 71
Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Now Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 50y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2025-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-05-27 | Tipperary | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2025-05-11 | Leopardstown | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.06 |
| 11/05/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 27/05/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |