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7

Mythological Star

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 2 · OR 79

Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Now Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 50y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved to make a winning handicap debut at Ffos Las in August before leading close home to defy a penalty at Windsor the following week. Might've found his next start coming too soon and ran poorly faced with softer ground at Sandown 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 12720/0555 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 1281/0655 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 1286/0755 @ Ffos Las 04/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 72 · 1m Gd 135 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 72 par4/085OR 725 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 1m2f GF 134 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 72 par10/085OR 725 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 72 · 1m3f99y GF 138 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 72 par13/085OR 724 @ Sandown 16/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m1f209y Goo 135 · below its mark16/09/2026 · OR 80 par16/094OR 80projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Sandown48th8th0
2026-08-13Windsor53rd4th−1
2026-08-10Windsor51st2nd−1
2026-08-04Ffos Las51st2nd−1
2026-07-06Lingfield53rd4th−1
2026-06-01Lingfield53rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/054/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 88/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -15.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20268th66/10%13%+0.13
01/06/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
06/07/20263rd5/174%82%+0.08
04/08/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
10/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
13/08/20263rd4/696%33%-0.63
16/09/20268th8/158%13%-0.45