2
Princess Rascal
4yo Filly · 10-0 · Draw 11 · OR 80
Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Now Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 50y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Newbury | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Salisbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newmarket | 2 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-08-11 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 10-13 · tight 79/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 11/08/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |