Sudu
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 8 · OR 80
Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Now Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1) · 1m 2f 50y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Thirsk | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Goodwood | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-07-02 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 03/12/2024 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 22/02/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 02/07/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 30/07/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |