Bleep Test
3yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 1 · OR 55
Nottingham · Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap · 6f 18y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Leicester | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 2nd | 85/40 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 17/07/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 27/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/09/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |