16
Captain Bentley
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 45
Nottingham · Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap · 6f 18y
#16
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 6 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chepstow | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Nottingham | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Catterick | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 1st | 80/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/07/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 19/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/10/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 15/10/2025 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/11/2025 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/09/2026 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |