Golden Harvest
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 52
Nottingham · Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap · 6f 18y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Doncaster | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-04-13 | Leicester | 4 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2026 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |