6
Hidden Verse
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 3 · OR 52
Nottingham · Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap · 6f 18y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bath | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 10-16 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/07/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 45% | -0.41 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |