Hope And Joy
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 15 · OR 46
Nottingham · Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap · 6f 18y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Ffos Las | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 250/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |