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King Cherry

3yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 11 · OR 53

Nottingham · Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap · 6f 18y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform
6lbs

Commentary

Revitalised by the application of a hood/drop to a sprint trip when making all in a 11-runner handicap at Kempton (6f) 7 days ago. Carries a penalty now but that rated as a career best and he has to be on the shortlist again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f36y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS27/0454 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 63 · 7f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 63 par24/075OR 636 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f210y Goo 133 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 57 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 57 par20/086OR 576 @ Lingfield 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 57 · 7f1y Std 132 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 55 par15/096OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 55 · 7f36y Std 133 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Kempton 30/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 53 · 6f Sta 131 · beat its mark30/09/2026 · OR 53 par30/096OR 53projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Kempton61st1st0
2026-09-18Wolverhampton69th9th0
2026-09-15Wolverhampton610th10th0
2026-08-27Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-20Lingfield66th6th0
2026-08-05Brighton67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/045/0815/0930/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 39/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
15/05/20268th100/10%22%+0.22
24/07/20266th6/168%0%-0.68
05/08/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
20/08/20266th10/147%50%+0.03
27/08/20264th4/179%70%-0.09
15/09/202610th5/174%18%-0.56
18/09/20269th15/261%11%-0.49
30/09/20261st10/147%100%+0.53