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2

The Feminine Urge

4yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 54

Nottingham · Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap · 6f 18y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Without a win for current yard this season but went close from career-low mark when second of 8 at Bath (good to firm) at the start of last month. Consistency has never been her strong suit, though, and she was down the field there 24 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength80%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 62 · 5f34y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 62 par1/065OR 626 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 60 · 5f21y GF 135 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 60 · 5f21y GF 138 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 60 par29/066OR 605 @ Newbury 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 57 · 6f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 56 · 6f GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 56 par25/075OR 565 @ Ffos Las 04/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 57 · 6f Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 57 · 6f12y GF 134 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 57 par13/086OR 576 @ Bath 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 55 · 5f160y Goo 135 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 55 par2 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 55 · 5f160y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 55 par13/092OR 55projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Bath215th10th+4
2026-09-02Bath62nd2nd0
2026-08-13Windsor65th5th0
2026-08-04Ffos Las56th5th+1
2026-07-25Lingfield52nd1st+1
2026-07-09Newbury53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/069/0713/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20266th28/10%17%+0.17
22/06/202611th11/142%9%-0.33
29/06/20267th33/10%50%+0.50
09/07/20263rd10/147%82%+0.34
25/07/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
04/08/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
13/08/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
02/09/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
13/09/202615th20/10%13%+0.13