2

Laflordelacanela
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 59
Penn National · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 09/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |