2

Laflordelacanela

2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 59

Penn National · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f Fas 11826/08C6C6 @ Delaware Park 09/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 51 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 51 par9/09C6OR 51projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Delaware Park?10th10th0
2026-08-26Penn National?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
09/09/202610th14/126%10%-0.16