5
Our Golden Gator
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 5 · OR 78
Penn National · Race 2 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-5 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -17.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |