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6

Sparkling Ruby

4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 78

Penn National · Race 2 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Penn National 20/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 86 par20/11C8OR 86C5 @ Penn National 11/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Penn National 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 82 · 6f 120 · below its mark01/04/2026 · OR 82 par1/04C5OR 82C5 @ Penn National 09/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Penn National 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 79 par15/05C5OR 79C5 @ Penn National 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Penn National 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 121 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 76 par26/06C5OR 76C5 @ Penn National 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Penn National 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f Slo 121 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 77 par20/08C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Penn National?5th5th0
2026-07-31Penn National?7th7th0
2026-06-26Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-06-05Penn National?3rd3rd0
2026-05-15Penn National?7th7th0
2026-04-09Penn National?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/119/0426/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength72%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20252nd10/147%80%+0.33
11/12/20255th6/168%20%-0.48
01/04/20263rd20/10%50%+0.50
09/04/20263rd20/10%50%+0.50
15/05/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
05/06/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13
26/06/20262nd6/168%75%+0.07
31/07/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
20/08/20265th25/10%43%+0.43